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Knowledge is key to survival in the stock trading world. The first chapter of the stock trade course teaches you how to make a profit. However, understanding the market and reacting to them is the most important part. Failure swing is an important indicator of trend reversal. We will explain why the failure swing pattern is important for technical analysis and how it can be used to identify trend reversals.
The trend dictates that traders trade according to it. They also need to be alert for early signs of trend reversal in order not get on the wrong side. If you spot a weakness in a trend, the failure swing is crucial for creating a trading strategy. This indicates that the market trend is changing and a new one is emerging.
Failure swing signals a trend reversal signal
- This indicates sell or buy, and it can occur on either an uptrend or a downtrend.
It allows you to spot early signs of reversal and weakness in the current trend.
It happens when the relative strength indicator (RSI) oscillator does not match the higher high of an uptrend or lower low in a decline.
The fail point is the point at which the RSI line drops below the swing low. This triggers the sell signal
- RSI that is above the lowest point of the current trend indicates a buying signal.
Failure swing is considered strong enough to signal a reversal and can be taken alone
The concept was introduced by Welles Wilder, Jr. in his seminal book,'New Concepts In Technical Trading Systems'. He also noted the failure swing. It states, "Failure swings greater than 70 or less than 30 are strong indicators of market reversal."
Let's talk more about it.
The relative strength index (RSI), a momentum oscillator, is used in nearly all trading software. It quantifies price changes and its impetus. To learn more about the momentum oscillator, please visit the RSI Index Article.
Failure swing refers to a moment when the price and RSI lines diverge. This indicates a decrease in current momentum, particularly when the market is in an overbought/oversold area.
A bullish phase is when the market reaches its highest level, or the overbought limit, and then it picks up again, but fails to surpass the previous high, creating an 'M-shaped' in the trendline. Here is where the failure swing takes place. If the current uptrend fails to reach a higher peak, it is a sign that the trend is weakening. In a bearish market, it is the same. The market will reach the lowest level of overselling and the second peak does not reach that level. It rises. It is a sign of a bearish market and traders are encouraged to take a long position.
The trigger line is drawn from the point where the first peak meets the lowest point. We can confirm a failure swing if the price falls below the trigger line after the second peak.
The price rose to a new peak at point C. This is the point where the second trigger is drawn. When the price line crosses the second trigger line, and then falls further, it is called a failure swing trend. You can wait for the failure trend to confirm before you change your position.
Similar situations exist in bearish markets. These are known as
Failure swings bottom
- The non-failure swing bottom
Traders use failure swing to plan entry and exit. If traders experience a failure swing in an uptrend, they will take a short position. During a downtrend, traders would plan to enter.
Traders aim to enter the market with the formation the second peak, before the failure swing occurs in a downtrend.
A failure swing pattern is a sign of a trend reversal. It is important to recognize a trend reversal early so you can plan your trades and have a positive impact on your portfolio.